Volume 19, Number 4 (IJIE 2008)                   IJIEPR 2008, 19(4): 57-67 | Back to browse issues page


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Sadeghian R, Jalali-Naini G, Sadjadi J, Hamidi Fard N. Applying Semi-Markov Models for forecasting the Triple Dimensions of Next Earthquake Occurrences: with Case Study in Iran Area. IJIEPR. 2008; 19 (4) :57-67
URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-7-en.html

, Sjsadjadi@iust.ac.ir
Abstract:   (4681 Views)

  In this paper Semi-Markov models are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. Semi-Markov models can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. In Semi-Markov models each zone can be considered as a state of proposed Semi-Markov model. At first proposed Semi-Markov model is explained to forecast the three mentioned dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Next, a zoning method is introduced and several algorithms for the validation of the proposed method are also described to obtain the errors of this method.

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Type of Study: Research | Subject: Material Managment
Received: 2009/04/18

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