جلد 19، شماره 4 - ( 9-1387 )                   جلد 19 شماره 4 صفحات 67-57 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها

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چکیده:   (8460 مشاهده)

  In this paper Semi-Markov models are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. Semi-Markov models can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. In Semi-Markov models each zone can be considered as a state of proposed Semi-Markov model. At first proposed Semi-Markov model is explained to forecast the three mentioned dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Next, a zoning method is introduced and several algorithms for the validation of the proposed method are also described to obtain the errors of this method.

     
نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: Material Managment
دریافت: 1388/1/29 | انتشار: 1387/9/25

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