Volume 33, Issue 2 (IJIEPR 2022)                   IJIEPR 2022, 33(2): 1-14 | Back to browse issues page

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Ameli M, Sadeghi S. A Scenario Analysis Through Fuzzy Cognitive Map Modeling for Sustainable Development Goals Survival In the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of Iran. IJIEPR 2022; 33 (2) :1-14
URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-1428-en.html
1- Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran affiliation , m.ameli@khu.ac.ir
2- Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Systems, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), Tehran, Iran
Abstract:   (613 Views)
To respond to the urgent call for preventive action against COVID-19 pandemic implications for societies, this research is carried out. The main aim of our research is providing a new insight for the effects of the newly emerged restrictions by COVID-19 on the SD Goals (SDGs). This research applied a qualitative approach for supporting the SDGs achievement post-COVID in Iran, as a developing country in the Middle East, in two phases. In the first phase, using a fuzzy Delphi method, the SDGs affected by COVID-19 were identified. In the next phase, a fuzzy cognitive map, as a qualitative system dynamics modeling, was conducted to specify the key interconnections among the SDGs post COVID-19. Finally, three strategies including focus on people in vulnerable situation, support for industrial units and small and medium-sized enterprises, and national aggregation to Fight COVID-19 were examined. As a result, different scenarios associated with the three proposed strategies were tested based on the identified interconnections among the SDGs to reduce the potential negative effects of COVID-19 crisis on the achievement of the SDGs. The results provide a decision support for stakeholders and policy makers involved in SD action plan.
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: Systems Modeling and Simulation
Received: 2022/01/25 | Accepted: 2022/02/28 | Published: 2022/06/30

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