جلد 19، شماره 4 - ( 9-1387 )                   جلد 19 شماره 4 صفحات 57-67 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


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Sadeghian R, Jalali-Naini G, Sadjadi J, Hamidi Fard N. Applying Semi-Markov Models for forecasting the Triple Dimensions of Next Earthquake Occurrences: with Case Study in Iran Area. IJIEPR. 2008; 19 (4) :57-67
URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-7-fa.html
Applying Semi-Markov Models for forecasting the Triple Dimensions of Next Earthquake Occurrences: with Case Study in Iran Area. نشریه بین المللی مهندسی صنایع و تحقیقات تولید. 1387; 19 (4) :57-67

URL: http://ijiepr.iust.ac.ir/article-1-7-fa.html


چکیده:   (4530 مشاهده)

  In this paper Semi-Markov models are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. Semi-Markov models can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. In Semi-Markov models each zone can be considered as a state of proposed Semi-Markov model. At first proposed Semi-Markov model is explained to forecast the three mentioned dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Next, a zoning method is introduced and several algorithms for the validation of the proposed method are also described to obtain the errors of this method.

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نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: Material Managment
دریافت: ۱۳۸۸/۱/۲۹

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